Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever AI Prediction

Match Info

Phoenix Mercury

Home

Indiana Fever

Away

🏀 WNBA 📅 Jul 09, 2026 ⏰ 10:00 📍 TBD

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34.1%

Phoenix Mercury
Win Rate

65.9%

Indiana Fever
Win Rate

Home -/+ 5.5 pts

Spread Lean

Total Points O/U Line 0.90

Phoenix Mercury Key Data

Indiana Fever Key Data

Confidence：★★★★★

📊 AI Model Lean: Indiana Fever (Market Probability 65.9%)

Based on market odds model. Not betting advice.

Odds & Lines

Current

2.76

Phoenix Mercury

Current

1.43

Indiana Fever

Spread Analysis

Current Spread

-5.5

Juice 0.90 / 0.90

Over / Under

Current O/U

0.90

Over 5.50 / Under 0.90

Source: Live market data

2.76

Phoenix Mercury Home Win Odds

Implied Win % 34.1%

1.43

Indiana Fever Away Win Odds

Implied Win % 65.9%

Data Edge

Phoenix Mercury Last 12 Games

6W–6L

Record

50.0%

Win Rate

58.3%

ATS Rate

41.7%

Over Rate

85.9

PPG

89.6

OPP PPG

Date	Game	W/L	Spread	O/U
2026-07-03	Phoenix Mercury 90-67 Seattle Storm	W	4.5(W)	171.0(Under)
2026-06-28	Toronto Tempo 80-89 Phoenix Mercury	W	5(W)	179.5(Under)
2026-06-25	Indiana Fever 109-111 Phoenix Mercury	W	9(W)	177.0(Over)
2026-06-23	Indiana Fever 86-77 Phoenix Mercury	L	8(L)	177.0(Under)
2026-06-21	Phoenix Mercury 93-73 Seattle Storm	W	6.5(W)	163.0(Over)
2026-06-18	Phoenix Mercury 76-86 Las Vegas Aces	L	-7(L)	172.0(Under)
2026-06-14	Phoenix Mercury 102-111 Los Angeles Sparks	L	-1.5(L)	171.5(Over)
2026-06-12	Dallas Wings 85-70 Phoenix Mercury	L	7(L)	169.0(Under)

Indiana Fever Last 12 Games

8W–4L

Record

66.7%

Win Rate

50.0%

ATS Rate

58.3%

Over Rate

92.6

PPG

96.8

OPP PPG

Date	Game	W/L	Spread	O/U
2026-06-25	Indiana Fever 109-111 Phoenix Mercury	W	9(W)	177.0(Over)
2026-06-23	Indiana Fever 86-77 Phoenix Mercury	L	8(L)	177.0(Under)
2026-07-06	Las Vegas Aces 68-84 Indiana Fever	W	2.5(W)	180.5(Under)
2026-06-28	Indiana Fever 111-87 Los Angeles Sparks	W	7(W)	183.5(Over)
2026-06-25	Indiana Fever 109-111 Phoenix Mercury	L	9(L)	177.0(Over)
2026-06-23	Indiana Fever 86-77 Phoenix Mercury	W	8(W)	177.0(Under)
2026-06-21	Atlanta Dream 113-96 Indiana Fever	L	5.5(L)	176.5(Over)
2026-06-19	Indiana Fever 101-108 Atlanta Dream	L	0(L)	173.0(Over)

Phoenix Mercury Indiana Fever Regular season averages

FG%

43.7

46.9

3P%

32.8

36.3

REB

32.3

34.5

AST

19.4

20.9

STL

7.7

6.0

12.8

14.8

Standings

Phoenix Mercury

Split	G	W	L	PPG	OPP	Rank	Win Rate
Overall	21	8	13	84.2	85.9	#12	38.1%
Home	9	3	6	87.9	90.4	#13	33.3%
Away	12	5	7	81.5	82.4	#9	41.7%
Last 10	10	5	5	86.7	85.6	—	50.0%

Indiana Fever

Split	G	W	L	PPG	OPP	Rank	Win Rate
Overall	20	12	8	93.4	88.9	#5	60.0%
Home	12	8	4	99.3	91.2	#2	66.7%
Away	8	4	4	84.6	85.4	#10	50.0%
Last 10	10	7	3	97.7	91.2	—	70.0%

AI Summary

No reliable data

AI Analysis

No reliable data

Injury Report

✅ No injuries reported. All key players expected to play.

Expected Lineups

Phoenix Mercury Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

Indiana Fever Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

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In 10 all-time meetings, Indiana Fever leads 10–0. Avg margin: 9.3 pts. Last 5: Indiana Fever 5–0, dominant edge.

Phoenix Mercury Wins

9.3

Avg Margin

Indiana Fever Wins

Date	Result	Half	Spread	O/U
2026-06-25	Indiana Fever 109-111 Phoenix Mercury	55-53	9(W)	177.0(Over)
2026-06-23	Indiana Fever 86-77 Phoenix Mercury	41-41	8(L)	177.0(Under)
2025-09-03	Phoenix Mercury 85-79 Indiana Fever	54-39	8(L)	166.5(Under)
2025-08-08	Phoenix Mercury 95-60 Indiana Fever	47-36	4.5(W)	172.5(Under)
2025-07-31	Indiana Fever 107-101 Phoenix Mercury	55-50	-3(L)	167.5(Over)
2024-08-17	Indiana Fever 98-89 Phoenix Mercury	54-37	3.5(L)	175.5(Over)
2024-07-13	Indiana Fever 95-86 Phoenix Mercury	55-35	1.5(L)	173.5(Over)
2024-07-01	Phoenix Mercury 82-88 Indiana Fever	49-38	8.5(L)	175.5(Under)

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Who will win Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever?

Our AI models analyze recent form, head-to-head records, injuries and odds movement to generate predictions.

What is the spread pick for {home} vs {away}?

The spread for this game is -5.5.Home -5.5: home must win by more than 5.5 pts to cover。Spread: {line}

Will {home} vs {away} go over or under?

O/U Line: 0.90Over/Under AnalysisBased on recent scoring averages. See the over/under section for details.

Always check the latest injury reports and line movement before placing any bets.

In 10 all-time meetings, Indiana Fever leads 10–0. Last 5: Indiana Fever 5–0.See head-to-head section for detailed records.

📖 Betting Glossary

Spread: Points handicap. Negative = home must win by that margin to cover. Over/Under: Total combined score line set by bookmakers. Over = total exceeds it; Under = total falls short. Moneyline: Odds on which team wins outright. Lower odds = stronger market favorite. Lower odds = stronger favorite per market. Implied Probability: Win probability derived from moneyline odds. More betting guides: NBA Odds Guide →

Updated: 2026-07-08 12:20:36

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever AI Prediction

Match Info

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Odds & Lines

Spread Analysis

Over / Under

Data Edge

Phoenix Mercury Last 12 Games

Indiana Fever Last 12 Games

Standings

Phoenix Mercury

Indiana Fever

AI Summary

AI Analysis

Injury Report

Expected Lineups

Phoenix Mercury Expected Lineup

Indiana Fever Expected Lineup

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📖 Betting Glossary

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