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Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries AI Prediction

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Match Info

Phoenix Mercury
Home
VS
Golden State Valkyries
Away
🏀 WNBA 📅 Jul 29, 2026 ⏰ 10:00 📍 TBD

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35.4%
Phoenix Mercury
Win Rate
64.6%
Golden State Valkyries
Win Rate
Home -/+ 5.5 pts
Spread Lean
Total Points O/U Line 155.5
40
Phoenix Mercury Key Data
81
Golden State Valkyries Key Data
Confidence：★★★★★
📊 AI Model Lean: Golden State Valkyries (Market Probability 64.6%)

Based on market odds model. Not betting advice.

Odds & Lines

Current
2.55
Phoenix Mercury
Current
1.40
Golden State Valkyries

Spread Analysis

Current Spread
-5.5
Juice 0.83 / 0.83

Over / Under

Current O/U
155.5
Over 0.85 / Under 0.74

Source: Live market data

2.55
Phoenix Mercury Home Win Odds
Implied Win % 35.4%
1.40
Golden State Valkyries Away Win Odds
Implied Win % 64.6%

Data Edge

Phoenix Mercury Last 10 Games

W
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
5W–5L
Record
50.0%
Win Rate
60.0%
ATS Rate
40.0%
Over Rate
83.9
PPG
88.1
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-07-23Los Angeles Sparks 82-86 Phoenix MercuryW0(W)176.0(Under)
2026-07-20Phoenix Mercury 72-63 Connecticut SunW4(W)164.5(Under)
2026-07-18Phoenix Mercury 83-96 Connecticut SunL3.5(L)162.5(Over)
2026-07-14Minnesota Lynx 104-100 Phoenix MercuryL10.5(W)169.5(Over)
2026-07-12Las Vegas Aces 106-58 Phoenix MercuryL8.5(L)168.5(Under)
2026-07-10Phoenix Mercury 89-92 Indiana FeverL-2(L)171.0(Over)
2026-07-08Phoenix Mercury 66-77 Chicago SkyL4(L)172.5(Under)
2026-07-03Phoenix Mercury 90-67 Seattle StormW4.5(W)171.0(Under)

Golden State Valkyries Last 10 Games

L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
9W–1L
Record
90.0%
Win Rate
70.0%
ATS Rate
20.0%
Over Rate
76.7
PPG
73.3
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-07-21Golden State Valkyries 82-90 Washington MysticsL8(L)146.5(Over)
2026-07-19Golden State Valkyries 74-69 Washington MysticsW9(L)148.5(Under)
2026-07-16Indiana Fever 75-88 Golden State ValkyriesW3(W)165.0(Under)
2026-07-11Connecticut Sun 64-79 Golden State ValkyriesW-5.5(W)153.5(Under)
2026-07-09Toronto Tempo 75-83 Golden State ValkyriesW-8.5(L)165.5(Under)
2026-07-07Washington Mystics 49-62 Golden State ValkyriesW-7.5(W)154.5(Under)
2026-07-05Atlanta Dream 83-88 Golden State ValkyriesW3.5(W)163.0(Over)
2026-06-29Golden State Valkyries 76-67 New York LibertyW1.5(W)163.5(Under)
Phoenix Mercury Golden State Valkyries Regular season averages
FG%
43.9
41.9
3P%
32.1
34.7
REB
31.5
32.2
AST
19.5
18.3
STL
7.5
7.6
TO
13.2
10.7

Standings

Phoenix Mercury

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall28101883.086.5#1235.7%
Home134984.787.8#1330.8%
Away156981.585.4#940.0%
Last 10105584.487.6—50.0%

Golden State Valkyries

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall2719881.976.4#270.4%
Home1511482.676.1#173.3%
Away128481.076.8#466.7%
Last 10109178.771.3—90.0%

AI Summary

No reliable data

🏀 Today's predictions updated · View Latest Odds View Now →

AI Analysis

No reliable data

Injury Report

✅ No injuries reported. All key players expected to play.

Expected Lineups

Phoenix Mercury Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

Golden State Valkyries Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

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In 7 all-time meetings, Golden State Valkyries leads 7–0. Avg margin: 7.6 pts. Last 5: Golden State Valkyries 5–0, dominant edge.
0
Phoenix Mercury Wins
7.6
Avg Margin
7
Golden State Valkyries Wins
DateResultHalfSpreadO/U
2026-06-10Golden State Valkyries 87-81 Phoenix Mercury49-328(W)162.5(Over)
2026-05-11Golden State Valkyries 95-79 Phoenix Mercury48-312.5(L)157.5(Over)
2025-08-23Phoenix Mercury 81-72 Golden State Valkyries41-317.5(W)156.5(Under)
2025-08-20Golden State Valkyries 91-98 Phoenix Mercury59-47-6.5(W)154.5(Over)
2025-07-15Golden State Valkyries 77-78 Phoenix Mercury32-362.5(W)158.0(Under)
2025-06-06Phoenix Mercury 86-77 Golden State Valkyries37-386.5(W)156.5(Over)
2025-05-12Phoenix Mercury 79-84 Golden State Valkyries36-297.5(L)164.5(Under)

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Who will win Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries?
Our AI models analyze recent form, head-to-head records, injuries and odds movement to generate predictions.
What is the spread pick for {home} vs {away}?
The spread for this game is -5.5.Home -5.5: home must win by more than 5.5 pts to cover。Spread: {line}
Will {home} vs {away} go over or under?
O/U Line: 155.5Over/Under AnalysisBased on recent scoring averages. See the over/under section for details.
Always check the latest injury reports and line movement before placing any bets.
In 7 all-time meetings, Golden State Valkyries leads 7–0. Last 5: Golden State Valkyries 5–0.See head-to-head section for detailed records.

📖 Betting Glossary

Spread: Points handicap. Negative = home must win by that margin to cover. Over/Under: Total combined score line set by bookmakers. Over = total exceeds it; Under = total falls short. Moneyline: Odds on which team wins outright. Lower odds = stronger market favorite. Lower odds = stronger favorite per market. Implied Probability: Win probability derived from moneyline odds. More betting guides: NBA Odds Guide →

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Updated: 2026-07-28 22:05:09