18NBA

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty AI Prediction

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Match Info

Phoenix Mercury
Home
VS
New York Liberty
Away
🏀 WNBA 📅 Aug 02, 2026 ⏰ 03:00 📍 Crypto.com Arena

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46.8%
Phoenix Mercury
Win Rate
53.2%
New York Liberty
Win Rate
Home -/+ 2.5 pts
Spread Lean
Total Points O/U Line 175.5
46
Phoenix Mercury Key Data
52
New York Liberty Key Data
Confidence：★★★★☆
📊 AI Model Lean: New York Liberty (Market Probability 53.2%)

Based on market odds model. Not betting advice.

Odds & Lines

Current
2.05
Phoenix Mercury
Current
1.80
New York Liberty

Spread Analysis

Current Spread
-2.5
Juice 0.85 / 0.85

Over / Under

Current O/U
175.5
Over 0.83 / Under 0.85

Source: Live market data

2.05
Phoenix Mercury Home Win Odds
Implied Win % 46.8%
1.80
New York Liberty Away Win Odds
Implied Win % 53.2%

Data Edge

Phoenix Mercury Last 10 Games

W
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
5W–5L
Record
50.0%
Win Rate
60.0%
ATS Rate
40.0%
Over Rate
81.7
PPG
86.3
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-07-30Phoenix Mercury 91-89 Golden State ValkyriesW-3.5(W)156.5(Over)
2026-07-23Los Angeles Sparks 82-86 Phoenix MercuryW0(W)176.0(Under)
2026-07-20Phoenix Mercury 72-63 Connecticut SunW4(W)164.5(Under)
2026-07-18Phoenix Mercury 83-96 Connecticut SunL3.5(L)162.5(Over)
2026-07-14Minnesota Lynx 104-100 Phoenix MercuryL10.5(W)169.5(Over)
2026-07-12Las Vegas Aces 106-58 Phoenix MercuryL8.5(L)168.5(Under)
2026-07-10Phoenix Mercury 89-92 Indiana FeverL-2(L)171.0(Over)
2026-07-08Phoenix Mercury 66-77 Chicago SkyL4(L)172.5(Under)

New York Liberty Last 10 Games

L
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
W
5W–5L
Record
50.0%
Win Rate
20.0%
ATS Rate
90.0%
Over Rate
92.8
PPG
96.6
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-07-31Las Vegas Aces 104-99 New York LibertyL4(L)182.0(Over)
2026-07-29Los Angeles Sparks 109-113 New York LibertyW-5(L)183.0(Over)
2026-07-23New York Liberty 95-94 Chicago SkyW7.5(L)178.0(Over)
2026-07-21Dallas Wings 98-99 New York LibertyW-6(L)176.0(Over)
2026-07-19Indiana Fever 108-88 New York LibertyL-2(L)185.0(Over)
2026-07-13Toronto Tempo 93-91 New York LibertyL-6.5(L)178.5(Over)
2026-07-12Minnesota Lynx 90-85 New York LibertyL5(走)173.5(Over)
2026-07-08New York Liberty 77-88 Dallas WingsL3.5(L)176.0(Under)
Phoenix Mercury New York Liberty Regular season averages
FG%
44.1
46.2
3P%
32.1
35.5
REB
31.6
34.4
AST
19.5
20.4
STL
7.3
6.2
TO
13.1
14.0

Standings

Phoenix Mercury

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall29111883.286.6#1037.9%
Home145985.187.9#1235.7%
Away156981.585.4#940.0%
Last 10105582.485.6—50.0%

New York Liberty

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall29161389.787.6#855.2%
Home138585.080.8#761.5%
Away168893.693.1#650.0%
Last 10104691.394.6—40.0%

AI Summary

No reliable data

🏀 Today's predictions updated · View Latest Odds View Now →

AI Analysis

No reliable data

Injury Report

✅ No injuries reported. All key players expected to play.

Expected Lineups

Phoenix Mercury Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

New York Liberty Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

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In 10 all-time meetings, New York Liberty leads 10–0. Avg margin: 12.3 pts. Last 5: New York Liberty 5–0, dominant edge.
0
Phoenix Mercury Wins
12.3
Avg Margin
10
New York Liberty Wins
DateResultHalfSpreadO/U
2026-05-30New York Liberty 75-68 Phoenix Mercury34-315.5(L)170.5(Under)
2026-05-28New York Liberty 84-74 Phoenix Mercury42-434(L)169.0(Under)
2025-09-20Phoenix Mercury 79-73 New York Liberty45-413.5(W)157.5(Under)
2025-09-18New York Liberty 60-86 Phoenix Mercury37-514.5(W)161.0(Under)
2025-09-15Phoenix Mercury 69-76 New York Liberty43-44-1.5(L)164.5(Under)
2025-08-31Phoenix Mercury 80-63 New York Liberty37-391.5(W)166.5(Under)
2025-07-26New York Liberty 89-76 Phoenix Mercury46-466.5(L)170.5(Under)
2025-06-28Phoenix Mercury 106-91 New York Liberty61-431.5(W)168.5(Over)

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Who will win Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty?
Our AI models analyze recent form, head-to-head records, injuries and odds movement to generate predictions.
What is the spread pick for {home} vs {away}?
The spread for this game is -2.5.Home -2.5: home must win by more than 2.5 pts to cover。Spread: {line}
Will {home} vs {away} go over or under?
O/U Line: 175.5Over/Under AnalysisBased on recent scoring averages. See the over/under section for details.
Always check the latest injury reports and line movement before placing any bets.
In 10 all-time meetings, New York Liberty leads 10–0. Last 5: New York Liberty 5–0.See head-to-head section for detailed records.

📖 Betting Glossary

Spread: Points handicap. Negative = home must win by that margin to cover. Over/Under: Total combined score line set by bookmakers. Over = total exceeds it; Under = total falls short. Moneyline: Odds on which team wins outright. Lower odds = stronger market favorite. Lower odds = stronger favorite per market. Implied Probability: Win probability derived from moneyline odds. More betting guides: NBA Odds Guide →

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👥 New York Liberty Related

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Updated: 2026-07-31 16:24:05