18NBA

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury AI Prediction

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Match Info

Atlanta Dream
Home
VS
Phoenix Mercury
Away
🏀 WNBA 📅 Aug 06, 2026 ⏰ 07:00 📍 Philips Arena

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63.9%
Atlanta Dream
Win Rate
36.1%
Phoenix Mercury
Win Rate
Away -/+ 5.5 pts
Spread Lean
Total Points O/U Line 178.5
66
Atlanta Dream Key Data
40
Phoenix Mercury Key Data
Confidence：★★★★★
📊 AI Model Lean: Atlanta Dream (Market Probability 63.9%)

Based on market odds model. Not betting advice.

Odds & Lines

Current
1.44
Atlanta Dream
Current
2.55
Phoenix Mercury

Spread Analysis

Current Spread
5.5
Juice 0.83 / 0.83

Over / Under

Current O/U
178.5
Over 0.85 / Under 0.85

Source: Live market data

1.44
Atlanta Dream Home Win Odds
Implied Win % 63.9%
2.55
Phoenix Mercury Away Win Odds
Implied Win % 36.1%

Data Edge

Atlanta Dream Last 10 Games

W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
6W–4L
Record
60.0%
Win Rate
10.0%
ATS Rate
70.0%
Over Rate
89.9
PPG
91.5
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-08-01Atlanta Dream 98-89 Seattle StormW12.5(L)180.5(Over)
2026-07-30Dallas Wings 81-82 Atlanta DreamW-2.5(L)181.5(Under)
2026-07-20Atlanta Dream 93-91 Chicago SkyW12.5(L)180.5(Over)
2026-07-18Toronto Tempo 92-111 Atlanta DreamW-10.5(W)180.5(Over)
2026-07-14Atlanta Dream 101-92 Los Angeles SparksW10.5(L)181.5(Over)
2026-07-12Atlanta Dream 92-102 Portland Trail BlazersL12.5(L)173.5(Over)
2026-07-10Atlanta Dream 89-78 Seattle StormW13(L)171.0(Under)
2026-07-05Atlanta Dream 83-88 Golden State ValkyriesL3.5(L)163.0(Over)

Phoenix Mercury Last 10 Games

L
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
4W–6L
Record
40.0%
Win Rate
60.0%
ATS Rate
50.0%
Over Rate
82.2
PPG
87.5
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-08-02Phoenix Mercury 92-94 New York LibertyL-3.5(W)178.0(Over)
2026-07-30Phoenix Mercury 91-89 Golden State ValkyriesW-3.5(W)156.5(Over)
2026-07-23Los Angeles Sparks 82-86 Phoenix MercuryW0(W)176.0(Under)
2026-07-20Phoenix Mercury 72-63 Connecticut SunW4(W)164.5(Under)
2026-07-18Phoenix Mercury 83-96 Connecticut SunL3.5(L)162.5(Over)
2026-07-14Minnesota Lynx 104-100 Phoenix MercuryL10.5(W)169.5(Over)
2026-07-12Las Vegas Aces 106-58 Phoenix MercuryL8.5(L)168.5(Under)
2026-07-10Phoenix Mercury 89-92 Indiana FeverL-2(L)171.0(Over)
Atlanta Dream Phoenix Mercury Regular season averages
FG%
43.7
44.3
3P%
30.8
32.1
REB
34.6
31.3
AST
20.5
19.6
STL
9.6
7.3
TO
13.1
13.0

Standings

Atlanta Dream

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall28181089.485.2#564.3%
Home1410493.286.6#471.4%
Away148685.683.9#757.1%
Last 10106491.589.9—60.0%

Phoenix Mercury

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall30111983.586.9#1236.7%
Home1551085.688.3#1233.3%
Away156981.585.4#940.0%
Last 10104682.787.0—40.0%

AI Summary

No reliable data

🏀 Today's predictions updated · View Latest Odds View Now →

AI Analysis

No reliable data

Injury Report

✅ No injuries reported. All key players expected to play.

Expected Lineups

Atlanta Dream Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

Phoenix Mercury Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

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In 10 all-time meetings, Phoenix Mercury leads 10–0. Avg margin: 10.4 pts. Last 5: Phoenix Mercury 5–0, dominant edge.
0
Atlanta Dream Wins
10.4
Avg Margin
10
Phoenix Mercury Wins
DateResultHalfSpreadO/U
2026-05-25Atlanta Dream 82-80 Phoenix Mercury37-446.5(L)168.5(Under)
2025-08-11Phoenix Mercury 66-74 Atlanta Dream34-394.5(W)165.5(Under)
2025-08-02Atlanta Dream 95-72 Phoenix Mercury58-42-3.5(W)168.5(Under)
2025-07-24Phoenix Mercury 79-90 Atlanta Dream34-397.5(W)164.0(Over)
2024-09-04Phoenix Mercury 74-66 Atlanta Dream40-251.5(L)160.5(Under)
2024-08-24Atlanta Dream 80-82 Phoenix Mercury41-48-2.5(W)161.5(Over)
2024-08-22Atlanta Dream 72-63 Phoenix Mercury34-26-2.5(W)166.5(Under)
2024-05-19Phoenix Mercury 88-85 Atlanta Dream43-37-2.5(L)170.5(Over)

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Who will win Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury?
Our AI models analyze recent form, head-to-head records, injuries and odds movement to generate predictions.
What is the spread pick for {home} vs {away}?
The spread for this game is 5.5.Away +5.5: away covers if they win or lose by less than 5.5 pts。Spread: {line}
Will {home} vs {away} go over or under?
O/U Line: 178.5Over/Under AnalysisBased on recent scoring averages. See the over/under section for details.
Always check the latest injury reports and line movement before placing any bets.
In 10 all-time meetings, Phoenix Mercury leads 10–0. Last 5: Phoenix Mercury 5–0.See head-to-head section for detailed records.

📖 Betting Glossary

Spread: Points handicap. Negative = home must win by that margin to cover. Over/Under: Total combined score line set by bookmakers. Over = total exceeds it; Under = total falls short. Moneyline: Odds on which team wins outright. Lower odds = stronger market favorite. Lower odds = stronger favorite per market. Implied Probability: Win probability derived from moneyline odds. More betting guides: NBA Odds Guide →

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Updated: 2026-08-03 17:00:04