18NBA

Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury AI Prediction

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Match Info

Connecticut Sun
Home
VS
Phoenix Mercury
Away
🏀 WNBA 📅 Aug 08, 2026 ⏰ 07:30 📍 Mohegan Sun Arena

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34.0%
Connecticut Sun
Win Rate
66.0%
Phoenix Mercury
Win Rate
Home -/+ 6.5 pts
Spread Lean
Total Points O/U Line 172.5
40
Connecticut Sun Key Data
49
Phoenix Mercury Key Data
Confidence：★★★★★
📊 AI Model Lean: Phoenix Mercury (Market Probability 66.0%)

Based on market odds model. Not betting advice.

Odds & Lines

Current
2.80
Connecticut Sun
Current
1.44
Phoenix Mercury

Spread Analysis

Current Spread
-6.5
Juice 0.83 / 0.85

Over / Under

Current O/U
172.5
Over 0.85 / Under 0.83

Source: Live market data

2.80
Connecticut Sun Home Win Odds
Implied Win % 34.0%
1.44
Phoenix Mercury Away Win Odds
Implied Win % 66.0%

Data Edge

Connecticut Sun Last 12 Games

L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
4W–8L
Record
33.3%
Win Rate
33.3%
ATS Rate
58.3%
Over Rate
81.9
PPG
85.4
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-08-03Dallas Wings 83-63 Connecticut SunL10.5(L)174.0(Under)
2026-07-31Chicago Sky 94-88 Connecticut SunL6(走)176.0(Over)
2026-07-29Washington Mystics 92-84 Connecticut SunL6.5(L)161.5(Over)
2026-07-23Indiana Fever 123-88 Connecticut SunL10.5(L)177.5(Over)
2026-07-20Phoenix Mercury 72-63 Connecticut SunL4(L)164.5(Under)
2026-07-18Phoenix Mercury 83-96 Connecticut SunW3.5(W)162.5(Over)
2026-07-14Connecticut Sun 90-87 Portland Trail BlazersW3(走)167.0(Over)
2026-07-11Connecticut Sun 64-79 Golden State ValkyriesL-5.5(L)153.5(Under)

Phoenix Mercury Last 12 Games

L
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
5W–7L
Record
41.7%
Win Rate
58.3%
ATS Rate
58.3%
Over Rate
85.4
PPG
89.2
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-07-20Phoenix Mercury 72-63 Connecticut SunL4(L)164.5(Under)
2026-07-18Phoenix Mercury 83-96 Connecticut SunW3.5(W)162.5(Over)
2026-08-06Atlanta Dream 96-82 Phoenix MercuryL6.5(L)182.5(Under)
2026-08-04Chicago Sky 101-106 Phoenix MercuryW-1.5(W)179.0(Over)
2026-08-02Phoenix Mercury 92-94 New York LibertyL-3.5(W)178.0(Over)
2026-07-30Phoenix Mercury 91-89 Golden State ValkyriesW-3.5(W)156.5(Over)
2026-07-23Los Angeles Sparks 82-86 Phoenix MercuryW0(W)176.0(Under)
2026-07-20Phoenix Mercury 72-63 Connecticut SunW4(W)164.5(Under)
Connecticut Sun Phoenix Mercury Regular season averages
FG%
43.3
44.4
3P%
29.5
32.4
REB
32.9
31.4
AST
19.2
19.8
STL
8.3
7.2
TO
13.9
12.8

Standings

Connecticut Sun

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall3072379.887.3#1423.3%
Home1441081.485.0#1428.6%
Away1631378.589.4#1418.8%
Last 10103780.688.8—30.0%

Phoenix Mercury

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall32122084.287.6#1137.5%
Home1551085.688.3#1233.3%
Away1771082.986.9#941.2%
Last 10104685.992.3—40.0%

AI Summary

No reliable data

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AI Analysis

No reliable data

Injury Report

✅ No injuries reported. All key players expected to play.

Expected Lineups

Connecticut Sun Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

Phoenix Mercury Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

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In 10 all-time meetings, Phoenix Mercury leads 10–0. Avg margin: 13.9 pts. Last 5: Phoenix Mercury 5–0, dominant edge.
0
Connecticut Sun Wins
13.9
Avg Margin
10
Phoenix Mercury Wins
DateResultHalfSpreadO/U
2026-07-20Phoenix Mercury 72-63 Connecticut Sun43-334(L)164.5(Under)
2026-07-18Phoenix Mercury 83-96 Connecticut Sun37-543.5(W)162.5(Over)
2025-09-07Connecticut Sun 87-84 Phoenix Mercury47-50-10.5(W)160.5(Over)
2025-08-06Phoenix Mercury 82-66 Connecticut Sun44-2814.5(L)169.0(Under)
2025-06-19Connecticut Sun 75-83 Phoenix Mercury36-48-15.5(W)156.5(Over)
2024-09-14Phoenix Mercury 69-88 Connecticut Sun38-46-9.5(W)156.5(Over)
2024-07-15Connecticut Sun 96-69 Phoenix Mercury48-427.5(W)158.5(Over)
2024-07-02Phoenix Mercury 72-83 Connecticut Sun35-42-4.5(W)156.5(Under)

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Who will win Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury?
Our AI models analyze recent form, head-to-head records, injuries and odds movement to generate predictions.
What is the spread pick for {home} vs {away}?
The spread for this game is -6.5.Home -6.5: home must win by more than 6.5 pts to cover。Spread: {line}
Will {home} vs {away} go over or under?
O/U Line: 172.5Over/Under AnalysisBased on recent scoring averages. See the over/under section for details.
Always check the latest injury reports and line movement before placing any bets.
In 10 all-time meetings, Phoenix Mercury leads 10–0. Last 5: Phoenix Mercury 5–0.See head-to-head section for detailed records.

📖 Betting Glossary

Spread: Points handicap. Negative = home must win by that margin to cover. Over/Under: Total combined score line set by bookmakers. Over = total exceeds it; Under = total falls short. Moneyline: Odds on which team wins outright. Lower odds = stronger market favorite. Lower odds = stronger favorite per market. Implied Probability: Win probability derived from moneyline odds. More betting guides: NBA Odds Guide →

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Updated: 2026-08-06 23:13:32