18NBA

Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury AI Prediction

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Match Info

Washington Mystics
Home
VS
Phoenix Mercury
Away
🏀 WNBA 📅 Aug 10, 2026 ⏰ 03:00 📍 Capital One Arena

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50.5%
Washington Mystics
Win Rate
49.5%
Phoenix Mercury
Win Rate
Away -/+ 1.5 pts
Spread Lean
Total Points O/U Line 168.5
64
Washington Mystics Key Data
40
Phoenix Mercury Key Data
Confidence：★★★☆☆
📊 AI Model Lean: Washington Mystics (Market Probability 50.5%)

Based on market odds model. Not betting advice.

Odds & Lines

Current
1.87
Washington Mystics
Current
1.91
Phoenix Mercury

Spread Analysis

Current Spread
1.5
Juice 0.95 / 0.87

Over / Under

Current O/U
168.5
Over 0.91 / Under 0.91

Source: Live market data

1.87
Washington Mystics Home Win Odds
Implied Win % 50.5%
1.91
Phoenix Mercury Away Win Odds
Implied Win % 49.5%

Data Edge

Washington Mystics Last 10 Games

W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
8W–2L
Record
80.0%
Win Rate
80.0%
ATS Rate
50.0%
Over Rate
81.6
PPG
80.6
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-08-08Washington Mystics 79-74 Atlanta DreamW-5.5(W)171.5(Under)
2026-08-06Washington Mystics 96-92 Dallas WingsW-1.5(W)167.5(Over)
2026-08-01Washington Mystics 81-75 Dallas WingsW-3.5(W)167.5(Under)
2026-07-29Washington Mystics 92-84 Connecticut SunW6.5(W)161.5(Over)
2026-07-23Washington Mystics 100-99 Las Vegas AcesW-6(W)164.0(Over)
2026-07-21Golden State Valkyries 82-90 Washington MysticsW8(W)146.5(Over)
2026-07-19Golden State Valkyries 74-69 Washington MysticsL9(W)148.5(Under)
2026-07-17Washington Mystics 56-75 Portland Trail BlazersL9.5(L)160.5(Under)

Phoenix Mercury Last 10 Games

L
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
4W–6L
Record
40.0%
Win Rate
60.0%
ATS Rate
50.0%
Over Rate
84.6
PPG
90.2
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-08-08Connecticut Sun 75-72 Phoenix MercuryL-5.5(L)171.5(Under)
2026-08-06Atlanta Dream 96-82 Phoenix MercuryL6.5(L)182.5(Under)
2026-08-04Chicago Sky 101-106 Phoenix MercuryW-1.5(W)179.0(Over)
2026-08-02Phoenix Mercury 92-94 New York LibertyL-3.5(W)178.0(Over)
2026-07-30Phoenix Mercury 91-89 Golden State ValkyriesW-3.5(W)156.5(Over)
2026-07-23Los Angeles Sparks 82-86 Phoenix MercuryW0(W)176.0(Under)
2026-07-20Phoenix Mercury 72-63 Connecticut SunW4(W)164.5(Under)
2026-07-18Phoenix Mercury 83-96 Connecticut SunL3.5(L)162.5(Over)
Washington Mystics Phoenix Mercury Regular season averages
FG%
43.8
44.2
3P%
29.6
31.9
REB
36.9
30.7
AST
19.1
19.8
STL
5.3
7.2
TO
15.5
12.7

Standings

Washington Mystics

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall30181281.682.9#660.0%
Home1610684.483.9#662.5%
Away148678.481.7#857.1%
Last 10108282.679.6—80.0%

Phoenix Mercury

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall33122183.887.2#1236.4%
Home1551085.688.3#1333.3%
Away1871182.386.3#1038.9%
Last 10104684.290.6—40.0%

AI Summary

No reliable data

🏀 Today's predictions updated · View Latest Odds View Now →

AI Analysis

No reliable data

Injury Report

✅ No injuries reported. All key players expected to play.

Expected Lineups

Washington Mystics Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

Phoenix Mercury Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

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In 10 all-time meetings, Phoenix Mercury leads 10–0. Avg margin: 12.9 pts. Last 5: Phoenix Mercury 5–0, dominant edge.
0
Washington Mystics Wins
12.9
Avg Margin
10
Phoenix Mercury Wins
DateResultHalfSpreadO/U
2025-09-05Washington Mystics 69-75 Phoenix Mercury36-44-9.5(W)159.5(Under)
2025-07-28Washington Mystics 72-88 Phoenix Mercury46-42-7.5(L)162.5(Under)
2025-05-26Phoenix Mercury 68-62 Washington Mystics32-225.5(L)161.5(Under)
2024-09-06Phoenix Mercury 77-90 Washington Mystics32-505.5(W)166.0(Over)
2024-07-16Washington Mystics 87-96 Phoenix Mercury46-44-4.5(L)168.5(Over)
2024-05-24Phoenix Mercury 83-80 Washington Mystics43-406.5(W)166.5(Under)
2023-09-06Phoenix Mercury 77-100 Washington Mystics33-50-8.5(W)154.5(Over)
2023-08-09Phoenix Mercury 91-72 Washington Mystics44-342.5(L)159.5(Over)

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Who will win Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury?
Our AI models analyze recent form, head-to-head records, injuries and odds movement to generate predictions.
What is the spread pick for {home} vs {away}?
The spread for this game is 1.5.Away +1.5: away covers if they win or lose by less than 1.5 pts。Spread: {line}
Will {home} vs {away} go over or under?
O/U Line: 168.5Over/Under AnalysisBased on recent scoring averages. See the over/under section for details.
Always check the latest injury reports and line movement before placing any bets.
In 10 all-time meetings, Phoenix Mercury leads 10–0. Last 5: Phoenix Mercury 5–0.See head-to-head section for detailed records.

📖 Betting Glossary

Spread: Points handicap. Negative = home must win by that margin to cover. Over/Under: Total combined score line set by bookmakers. Over = total exceeds it; Under = total falls short. Moneyline: Odds on which team wins outright. Lower odds = stronger market favorite. Lower odds = stronger favorite per market. Implied Probability: Win probability derived from moneyline odds. More betting guides: NBA Odds Guide →

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Updated: 2026-08-08 18:10:28