18NBA

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury AI Prediction

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Match Info

Los Angeles Sparks
Home
VS
Phoenix Mercury
Away
🏀 WNBA 📅 Aug 12, 2026 ⏰ 10:00 📍 Crypto.com Arena

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47.8%
Los Angeles Sparks
Win Rate
52.2%
Phoenix Mercury
Win Rate
Home -/+ 1.5 pts
Spread Lean
Total Points O/U Line 181.5
40
Los Angeles Sparks Key Data
40
Phoenix Mercury Key Data
Confidence：★★★☆☆
📊 AI Model Lean: Phoenix Mercury (Market Probability 52.2%)

Based on market odds model. Not betting advice.

Odds & Lines

Current
2.00
Los Angeles Sparks
Current
1.83
Phoenix Mercury

Spread Analysis

Current Spread
-1.5
Juice 0.91 / 0.91

Over / Under

Current O/U
181.5
Over 0.91 / Under 0.91

Source: Live market data

2.00
Los Angeles Sparks Home Win Odds
Implied Win % 47.8%
1.83
Phoenix Mercury Away Win Odds
Implied Win % 52.2%

Data Edge

Los Angeles Sparks Last 11 Games

L
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
3W–8L
Record
27.3%
Win Rate
63.6%
ATS Rate
36.4%
Over Rate
90.5
PPG
92.0
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-08-10Los Angeles Sparks 78-84 Golden State ValkyriesL-7(W)169.5(Under)
2026-08-07Minnesota Lynx 82-89 Los Angeles SparksW16.5(W)186.5(Under)
2026-08-06Chicago Sky 95-88 Los Angeles SparksL3(L)187.5(Under)
2026-08-03Portland Trail Blazers 101-106 Los Angeles SparksW-1(W)186.5(Over)
2026-07-29Los Angeles Sparks 109-113 New York LibertyL-5(W)183.0(Over)
2026-07-23Los Angeles Sparks 82-86 Phoenix MercuryL0(L)176.0(Under)
2026-07-20Dallas Wings 90-82 Los Angeles SparksL7.5(L)183.5(Under)
2026-07-18Chicago Sky 96-82 Los Angeles SparksL2.5(L)182.5(Under)

Phoenix Mercury Last 11 Games

L
L
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
4W–7L
Record
36.4%
Win Rate
54.5%
ATS Rate
45.5%
Over Rate
86.3
PPG
88.5
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-07-23Los Angeles Sparks 82-86 Phoenix MercuryL0(L)176.0(Under)
2026-08-10Washington Mystics 95-75 Phoenix MercuryL0(L)170.0(走)
2026-08-08Connecticut Sun 75-72 Phoenix MercuryL-5.5(L)171.5(Under)
2026-08-06Atlanta Dream 96-82 Phoenix MercuryL6.5(L)182.5(Under)
2026-08-04Chicago Sky 101-106 Phoenix MercuryW-1.5(W)179.0(Over)
2026-08-02Phoenix Mercury 92-94 New York LibertyL-3.5(W)178.0(Over)
2026-07-30Phoenix Mercury 91-89 Golden State ValkyriesW-3.5(W)156.5(Over)
2026-07-23Los Angeles Sparks 82-86 Phoenix MercuryW0(W)176.0(Under)
Los Angeles Sparks Phoenix Mercury Regular season averages
FG%
46.7
44.1
3P%
33.7
32.1
REB
30.5
30.8
AST
22.0
19.9
STL
7.5
7.2
TO
14.2
12.8

Standings

Los Angeles Sparks

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall31121989.293.6#1038.7%
Home1551088.592.5#1233.3%
Away167989.994.6#943.8%
Last 10102889.594.4—20.0%

Phoenix Mercury

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall34122283.687.4#1235.3%
Home1551085.688.3#1333.3%
Away1971281.986.7#1036.8%
Last 10104685.989.5—40.0%

AI Summary

User Safety: safe

Model pick: User Safety: safe

🏀 Today's predictions updated · View Latest Odds View Now →

AI Analysis

User Safety: safe

Injury Report

✅ No injuries reported. All key players expected to play.

Expected Lineups

Los Angeles Sparks Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

Phoenix Mercury Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

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In 10 all-time meetings, Phoenix Mercury leads 10–0. Avg margin: 6.7 pts. Last 5: Phoenix Mercury 5–0, dominant edge.
0
Los Angeles Sparks Wins
6.7
Avg Margin
10
Phoenix Mercury Wins
DateResultHalfSpreadO/U
2026-07-23Los Angeles Sparks 82-86 Phoenix Mercury41-430(L)176.0(Under)
2026-06-14Phoenix Mercury 102-111 Los Angeles Sparks54-51-1.5(W)171.5(Over)
2026-05-22Phoenix Mercury 88-97 Los Angeles Sparks43-602.5(W)178.0(Over)
2025-09-10Phoenix Mercury 83-88 Los Angeles Sparks44-456.5(W)173.5(Under)
2025-08-27Los Angeles Sparks 84-92 Phoenix Mercury40-48-3.5(L)177.5(Under)
2025-06-02Los Angeles Sparks 80-85 Phoenix Mercury50-374.5(L)165.5(Under)
2025-05-22Phoenix Mercury 89-86 Los Angeles Sparks42-465.5(W)159.5(Over)
2024-09-18Los Angeles Sparks 81-85 Phoenix Mercury44-36-2.5(L)164.5(Over)

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Who will win Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury?
Our AI models analyze recent form, head-to-head records, injuries and odds movement to generate predictions.
What is the spread pick for {home} vs {away}?
The spread for this game is -1.5.Home -1.5: home must win by more than 1.5 pts to cover。Spread: {line}
Will {home} vs {away} go over or under?
O/U Line: 181.5Over/Under AnalysisBased on recent scoring averages. See the over/under section for details.
Always check the latest injury reports and line movement before placing any bets.
In 10 all-time meetings, Phoenix Mercury leads 10–0. Last 5: Phoenix Mercury 5–0.See head-to-head section for detailed records.

📖 Betting Glossary

Spread: Points handicap. Negative = home must win by that margin to cover. Over/Under: Total combined score line set by bookmakers. Over = total exceeds it; Under = total falls short. Moneyline: Odds on which team wins outright. Lower odds = stronger market favorite. Lower odds = stronger favorite per market. Implied Probability: Win probability derived from moneyline odds. More betting guides: NBA Odds Guide →

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Updated: 2026-08-10 22:46:58