Connecticut Sun vs Atlanta Dream AI Prediction

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Match Info

🏀 WNBA 📅 Aug 14, 2026 ⏰ 07:00 📍 Mohegan Sun Arena

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20.9%
Connecticut Sun
Win Rate
79.1%
Atlanta Dream
Win Rate
Home -/+ 10.5 pts
Spread Lean
Total Points O/U Line 173.5
40
Connecticut Sun Key Data
75
Atlanta Dream Key Data
Confidence:★★★★★
📊 AI Model Lean: Atlanta Dream (Market Probability 79.1%)

Based on market odds model. Not betting advice.

Odds & Lines

Current
4.55
Connecticut Sun
Current
1.20
Atlanta Dream

Spread Analysis

Current Spread
-10.5
Juice 0.90 / 0.90

Over / Under

Current O/U
173.5
Over 0.90 / Under 0.86

Source: Live market data

4.55
Connecticut Sun Home Win Odds
Implied Win % 20.9%
1.20
Atlanta Dream Away Win Odds
Implied Win % 79.1%

Data Edge

Connecticut Sun Last 10 Games

W
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
3W–7L
Record
30.0%
Win Rate
30.0%
ATS Rate
50.0%
Over Rate
80.6
PPG
85.6
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-08-08Connecticut Sun 75-72 Phoenix MercuryW-5.5(W)171.5(Under)
2026-08-03Dallas Wings 83-63 Connecticut SunL10.5(L)174.0(Under)
2026-07-31Chicago Sky 94-88 Connecticut SunL6(走)176.0(Over)
2026-07-29Washington Mystics 92-84 Connecticut SunL6.5(L)161.5(Over)
2026-07-23Indiana Fever 123-88 Connecticut SunL10.5(L)177.5(Over)
2026-07-20Phoenix Mercury 72-63 Connecticut SunL4(L)164.5(Under)
2026-07-18Phoenix Mercury 83-96 Connecticut SunW3.5(W)162.5(Over)
2026-07-14Connecticut Sun 90-87 Portland Trail BlazersW3(走)167.0(Over)

Atlanta Dream Last 10 Games

W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
7W–3L
Record
70.0%
Win Rate
20.0%
ATS Rate
70.0%
Over Rate
92.7
PPG
92.6
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-08-11Atlanta Dream 107-95 Toronto TempoW15.5(L)188.0(Over)
2026-08-08Washington Mystics 79-74 Atlanta DreamL-5.5(L)171.5(Under)
2026-08-06Atlanta Dream 96-82 Phoenix MercuryW6.5(W)182.5(Under)
2026-08-04Atlanta Dream 87-109 Las Vegas AcesL3.5(L)182.5(Over)
2026-08-01Atlanta Dream 98-89 Seattle StormW12.5(L)180.5(Over)
2026-07-30Dallas Wings 81-82 Atlanta DreamW-2.5(L)181.5(Under)
2026-07-20Atlanta Dream 93-91 Chicago SkyW12.5(L)180.5(Over)
2026-07-18Toronto Tempo 92-111 Atlanta DreamW-10.5(W)180.5(Over)
Connecticut Sun Atlanta Dream Regular season averages
FG%
43.4
43.7
3P%
29.7
31.3
REB
32.9
34.3
AST
19.2
20.9
STL
8.2
9.1
TO
14.1
13.0

Standings

Connecticut Sun

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall3182379.786.8#1425.8%
Home1551080.984.1#1433.3%
Away1631378.589.4#1418.8%
Last 10103779.187.1—30.0%

Atlanta Dream

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall32201289.686.0#562.5%
Home1712593.888.2#470.6%
Away158784.883.5#753.3%
Last 10107394.191.2—70.0%

AI Summary

No reliable data

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AI Analysis

No reliable data

Injury Report

✅ No injuries reported. All key players expected to play.

Expected Lineups

Connecticut Sun Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

Atlanta Dream Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

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In 10 all-time meetings, Atlanta Dream leads 10–0. Avg margin: 15.4 pts. Last 5: Atlanta Dream 5–0, dominant edge.
0
Connecticut Sun Wins
15.4
Avg Margin
10
Atlanta Dream Wins
DateResultHalfSpreadO/U
2026-06-03Atlanta Dream 91-75 Connecticut Sun50-4912.5(L)163.5(Over)
2025-09-11Connecticut Sun 72-88 Atlanta Dream28-51-12.5(L)157.5(Over)
2025-09-09Atlanta Dream 87-62 Connecticut Sun45-4315(L)160.0(Under)
2025-09-02Connecticut Sun 76-93 Atlanta Dream48-42-11(L)159.5(Over)
2025-06-07Connecticut Sun 84-76 Atlanta Dream36-35-10.5(W)160.5(Under)
2025-05-26Atlanta Dream 79-55 Connecticut Sun37-338.5(L)158.5(Under)
2024-08-19Atlanta Dream 82-70 Connecticut Sun38-34-7.5(L)155.5(Under)
2024-07-08Connecticut Sun 80-67 Atlanta Dream34-2414.5(L)150.5(Under)

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Who will win Connecticut Sun vs Atlanta Dream?
Our AI models analyze recent form, head-to-head records, injuries and odds movement to generate predictions.
What is the spread pick for {home} vs {away}?
The spread for this game is -10.5.Home -10.5: home must win by more than 10.5 pts to cover。Spread: {line}
Will {home} vs {away} go over or under?
O/U Line: 173.5Over/Under AnalysisBased on recent scoring averages. See the over/under section for details.
Always check the latest injury reports and line movement before placing any bets.
In 10 all-time meetings, Atlanta Dream leads 10–0. Last 5: Atlanta Dream 5–0.See head-to-head section for detailed records.

📖 Betting Glossary

Spread: Points handicap. Negative = home must win by that margin to cover. Over/Under: Total combined score line set by bookmakers. Over = total exceeds it; Under = total falls short. Moneyline: Odds on which team wins outright. Lower odds = stronger market favorite. Lower odds = stronger favorite per market. Implied Probability: Win probability derived from moneyline odds. More betting guides: NBA Odds Guide →

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Updated: 2026-08-12 16:51:20