Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire AI Prediction

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Match Info

🏀 WNBA 📅 Aug 17, 2026 ⏰ 07:00 📍 Crypto.com Arena

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65.5%
Phoenix Mercury
Win Rate
34.5%
Portland Fire
Win Rate
Away -/+ 5.5 pts
Spread Lean
Total Points O/U Line 176.5
53
Phoenix Mercury Key Data
40
Portland Fire Key Data
Confidence:★★★★★
📊 AI Model Lean: Phoenix Mercury (Market Probability 65.5%)

Based on market odds model. Not betting advice.

Odds & Lines

Current
1.45
Phoenix Mercury
Current
2.75
Portland Fire

Spread Analysis

Current Spread
5.5
Juice 0.87 / 0.83

Over / Under

Current O/U
176.5
Over 0.85 / Under 0.85

Source: Live market data

1.45
Phoenix Mercury Home Win Odds
Implied Win % 65.5%
2.75
Portland Fire Away Win Odds
Implied Win % 34.5%

Data Edge

Phoenix Mercury Last 10 Games

W
L
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
5W–5L
Record
50.0%
Win Rate
60.0%
ATS Rate
50.0%
Over Rate
85.7
PPG
87.4
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-08-12Los Angeles Sparks 87-94 Phoenix MercuryW2.5(W)179.0(Over)
2026-08-10Washington Mystics 95-75 Phoenix MercuryL0(L)170.0(走)
2026-08-08Connecticut Sun 75-72 Phoenix MercuryL-5.5(L)171.5(Under)
2026-08-06Atlanta Dream 96-82 Phoenix MercuryL6.5(L)182.5(Under)
2026-08-04Chicago Sky 101-106 Phoenix MercuryW-1.5(W)179.0(Over)
2026-08-02Phoenix Mercury 92-94 New York LibertyL-3.5(W)178.0(Over)
2026-07-30Phoenix Mercury 91-89 Golden State ValkyriesW-3.5(W)156.5(Over)
2026-07-23Los Angeles Sparks 82-86 Phoenix MercuryW0(W)176.0(Under)

Portland Fire Last 10 Games

W
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
4W–6L
Record
40.0%
Win Rate
70.0%
ATS Rate
60.0%
Over Rate
91.5
PPG
91.1
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-08-15Seattle Storm 82-84 Portland Trail BlazersW2.5(W)182.5(Under)
2026-08-13Portland Trail Blazers 81-85 Minnesota LynxL-12(W)187.5(Under)
2026-08-09Portland Trail Blazers 100-93 Seattle StormW-1.5(W)180.5(Over)
2026-08-07Portland Trail Blazers 97-83 Toronto TempoW2.5(W)187.5(Under)
2026-08-03Portland Trail Blazers 101-106 Los Angeles SparksL-1(L)186.5(Over)
2026-08-01Portland Trail Blazers 98-112 Indiana FeverL-7(L)189.0(Over)
2026-07-29Las Vegas Aces 98-83 Portland Trail BlazersL12.5(L)176.5(Over)
2026-07-23Portland Trail Blazers 97-101 Dallas WingsL-7(W)176.5(Over)
Phoenix Mercury Portland Fire Regular season averages
FG%
44.3
45.3
3P%
32.2
35.2
REB
30.9
29.8
AST
19.9
20.9
STL
7.3
7.4
TO
13.1
14.5

Standings

Phoenix Mercury

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall35132283.987.4#1037.1%
Home1551085.688.3#1233.3%
Away2081282.686.8#940.0%
Last 10105585.387.8—50.0%

Portland Fire

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall34142086.791.3#941.2%
Home1881087.690.6#944.4%
Away1661085.892.2#1137.5%
Last 10104690.991.7—40.0%

AI Summary

No reliable data

🏀 Today's predictions updated · View Latest Odds View Now →

AI Analysis

No reliable data

Injury Report

✅ No injuries reported. All key players expected to play.

Expected Lineups

Phoenix Mercury Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

Portland Fire Expected Lineup

Lineup updating...

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In 1 all-time meetings, Portland Fire leads 1–0. Avg margin: 6.0 pts. Last 5: Portland Fire 1–4, dominant edge.
0
Phoenix Mercury Wins
6.0
Avg Margin
1
Portland Fire Wins
DateResultHalfSpreadO/U
2026-06-06Portland Trail Blazers 72-78 Phoenix Mercury34-384.5(W)160.5(Under)

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Who will win Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire?
Our AI models analyze recent form, head-to-head records, injuries and odds movement to generate predictions.
What is the spread pick for {home} vs {away}?
The spread for this game is 5.5.Away +5.5: away covers if they win or lose by less than 5.5 pts。Spread: {line}
Will {home} vs {away} go over or under?
O/U Line: 176.5Over/Under AnalysisBased on recent scoring averages. See the over/under section for details.
Always check the latest injury reports and line movement before placing any bets.
In 1 all-time meetings, Portland Fire leads 1–0. Last 1: Portland Fire 1–0.See head-to-head section for detailed records.

📖 Betting Glossary

Spread: Points handicap. Negative = home must win by that margin to cover. Over/Under: Total combined score line set by bookmakers. Over = total exceeds it; Under = total falls short. Moneyline: Odds on which team wins outright. Lower odds = stronger market favorite. Lower odds = stronger favorite per market. Implied Probability: Win probability derived from moneyline odds. More betting guides: NBA Odds Guide →

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Updated: 2026-08-16 00:35:02