Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks AI Prediction

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Match Info

🏀 WNBA 📅 Aug 19, 2026 ⏰ 07:00 📍 Mohegan Sun Arena

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47.9%
Connecticut Sun
Win Rate
52.1%
Los Angeles Sparks
Win Rate
Home -/+ 1.5 pts
Spread Lean
Total Points O/U Line 173.5
40
Connecticut Sun Key Data
40
Los Angeles Sparks Key Data
Confidence:★★★☆☆
📊 AI Model Lean: Los Angeles Sparks (Market Probability 52.1%)

Based on market odds model. Not betting advice.

Odds & Lines

Current
1.90
Connecticut Sun
Current
1.75
Los Angeles Sparks

Spread Analysis

Current Spread
-1.5
Juice 0.83 / 0.83

Over / Under

Current O/U
173.5
Over 0.83 / Under 0.83

Source: Live market data

1.90
Connecticut Sun Home Win Odds
Implied Win % 47.9%
1.75
Los Angeles Sparks Away Win Odds
Implied Win % 52.1%

Data Edge

Connecticut Sun Last 10 Games

L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
3W–7L
Record
30.0%
Win Rate
30.0%
ATS Rate
50.0%
Over Rate
82.7
PPG
85.6
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-08-16Connecticut Sun 75-82 New York LibertyL-8.5(W)171.5(Under)
2026-08-14Connecticut Sun 69-104 Atlanta DreamL-10(L)174.0(Under)
2026-08-08Connecticut Sun 75-72 Phoenix MercuryW-5.5(W)171.5(Under)
2026-08-03Dallas Wings 83-63 Connecticut SunL10.5(L)174.0(Under)
2026-07-31Chicago Sky 94-88 Connecticut SunL6(走)176.0(Over)
2026-07-29Washington Mystics 92-84 Connecticut SunL6.5(L)161.5(Over)
2026-07-23Indiana Fever 123-88 Connecticut SunL10.5(L)177.5(Over)
2026-07-20Phoenix Mercury 72-63 Connecticut SunL4(L)164.5(Under)

Los Angeles Sparks Last 10 Games

L
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
2W–8L
Record
20.0%
Win Rate
50.0%
ATS Rate
30.0%
Over Rate
89.3
PPG
88.9
OPP PPG
DateGameW/LSpreadO/U
2026-08-16Washington Mystics 80-70 Los Angeles SparksL8(L)174.0(Under)
2026-08-14New York Liberty 85-81 Los Angeles SparksL8.5(W)186.5(Under)
2026-08-12Los Angeles Sparks 87-94 Phoenix MercuryL2.5(L)179.0(Over)
2026-08-10Los Angeles Sparks 78-84 Golden State ValkyriesL-7(W)169.5(Under)
2026-08-07Minnesota Lynx 82-89 Los Angeles SparksW16.5(W)186.5(Under)
2026-08-06Chicago Sky 95-88 Los Angeles SparksL3(L)187.5(Under)
2026-08-03Portland Trail Blazers 101-106 Los Angeles SparksW-1(W)186.5(Over)
2026-07-29Los Angeles Sparks 109-113 New York LibertyL-5(W)183.0(Over)
Connecticut Sun Los Angeles Sparks Regular season averages
FG%
42.7
46.4
3P%
29.9
33.3
REB
33.1
30.7
AST
19.0
22.1
STL
8.0
7.6
TO
13.8
14.2

Standings

Connecticut Sun

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall3382579.287.2#1424.2%
Home1751279.985.2#1429.4%
Away1631378.589.4#1418.8%
Last 10103779.189.2—30.0%

Los Angeles Sparks

SplitGWLPPGOPPRankWin Rate
Overall34122288.393.0#1235.3%
Home1651188.492.6#1331.2%
Away1871188.393.3#1138.9%
Last 10102887.291.0—20.0%

AI Summary

No reliable data

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AI Analysis

No reliable data

Injury Report

TeamPlayerPosProbabilityStatus
康乃狄克陽光艾莉亚爱华士前锋Monitor预计缺阵
康乃狄克陽光云莉特后卫Monitor其他
康乃狄克陽光格莲娜中鋒Monitor预计缺阵
Los Angeles Sparks玛卡妮后卫Monitor预计缺阵
Los Angeles Sparks卡美朗比莲前锋Monitor预计缺阵

Expected Lineups

Connecticut Sun Expected Lineup

  • #1前锋米勒
  • #25后卫伯克
  • #10中锋奥杜达
  • #47后卫娜坎
  • #4得分后卫沃克

Los Angeles Sparks Expected Lineup

  • #12大前锋雷·伯雷尔
  • #30前锋欧古米克
  • #5前锋汉比
  • #7后卫阿特金斯
  • #17后卫维勒

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In 10 all-time meetings, Los Angeles Sparks leads 10–0. Avg margin: 11.1 pts. Last 5: Los Angeles Sparks 5–0, dominant edge.
0
Connecticut Sun Wins
11.1
Avg Margin
10
Los Angeles Sparks Wins
DateResultHalfSpreadO/U
2026-05-31Connecticut Sun 84-81 Los Angeles Sparks39-36-3.5(W)168.5(Under)
2025-08-08Los Angeles Sparks 102-91 Connecticut Sun49-519.5(L)174.5(Over)
2025-07-25Connecticut Sun 86-101 Los Angeles Sparks44-45-5.5(L)169.5(Over)
2025-07-14Los Angeles Sparks 92-88 Connecticut Sun47-4910.5(W)165.5(Over)
2024-09-11Los Angeles Sparks 66-86 Connecticut Sun32-43-10.5(W)157.5(Under)
2024-09-09Los Angeles Sparks 67-79 Connecticut Sun45-39-10.5(W)161.5(Under)
2024-08-21Connecticut Sun 69-61 Los Angeles Sparks41-3514.5(L)158.5(Under)
2024-06-19Connecticut Sun 79-70 Los Angeles Sparks39-2813.5(L)153.5(Under)

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Who will win Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks?
Our AI models analyze recent form, head-to-head records, injuries and odds movement to generate predictions.
What is the spread pick for {home} vs {away}?
The spread for this game is -1.5.Home -1.5: home must win by more than 1.5 pts to cover。Spread: {line}
Will {home} vs {away} go over or under?
O/U Line: 173.5Over/Under AnalysisBased on recent scoring averages. See the over/under section for details.
Always check the latest injury reports and line movement before placing any bets.
In 10 all-time meetings, Los Angeles Sparks leads 10–0. Last 5: Los Angeles Sparks 5–0.See head-to-head section for detailed records.

📖 Betting Glossary

Spread: Points handicap. Negative = home must win by that margin to cover. Over/Under: Total combined score line set by bookmakers. Over = total exceeds it; Under = total falls short. Moneyline: Odds on which team wins outright. Lower odds = stronger market favorite. Lower odds = stronger favorite per market. Implied Probability: Win probability derived from moneyline odds. More betting guides: NBA Odds Guide →

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Updated: 2026-08-17 19:03:56